League Two: What's still possible

[Joe Jones]

Stat gods Experimental 3-6-1 have drawn up all the various possible permutations in the PL and EFL.

Getting to the point, Notts County can finish anywhere from second to 12th in the table.

From the article:

Accrington and Luton are now mathematically guaranteed a play-off place at worst, although both look incredibly likely to go up automatically. Everybody down to 9th-placed Swindon could still secure automatic promotion and a whopping 16 teams in total are still technically able to be promoted this season. Two of these – Stevenage and Yeovil – are also still capable of being relegated, with the Glovers one of eight teams who could end up at the bottom of the pile.

Thoughts?

[Fan of Big Tone 𝕏 @mainstandpie]

It just goes to show how good the play offs have been since they were introduced, so many clubs have so much to play for at the end of the season. The best thing is anything can happen between now and then, nobody knows that’s what makes it so good.

[Chris Website URL Visit Site 𝕏 fmcj10 Instagram fmcj10]

I expect a few twists and turns, though I think the vast majority is cast in stone now.

I can't see Mansfield making the play-offs, it would take something very special and I'm referring to their six fingers. I think there's a slim chance we could cause a surprise, as I keep saying Notts does things the hard way but provided we make the play-offs I will be delighted. There's some twists as I wrote at the start, yet it's going to be mostly down to the luck from this point for some clubs.

[DangerousSausage]

If Wycombe do slip up now, I expect Exeter to benefit. I can't see us turning it on enough to threaten the top three, but a win will see us into the play-offs. And that's a great achievement! With no outstanding team in or around the play-offs we've got every chance of going up...

Mansfield have hit a bad run at the worst moment. At this time there's usually a team making a strong run towards the play-offs, but it doesn't seem to be happening this year (which helps us no end). Most teams have 12 points to play for though so who knows...

[DangerousSausage]

After Saturday's matches Swindon, Carlisle and Colchester can no longer catch us and we can't finish lower than eighth. To make the play-offs we need to finish ahead of ONE of Exeter, Coventry, Mansfield and Lincoln. For us to miss out, all four need to overtake us. Here's an overview:

Accrington - played 41, points 84, maximum points 99

Luton - played 43, points 83, max points 92

Wycombe - played 42, points 77, max points 89

Notts County - played 43, points 73, max points 82

Exeter - played 42, points 73, max points 85

Coventry - played 42, points 68, max points 80

Mansfield - played 43, points 67, max points 76

Lincoln - played 41, points 67, max points 82

Conclusions:

1. Automatic is unlikely. At one stage yesterday we were just two points behind Wycombe, but their late winner against Yeovil was massive. A four-point gap doesn't sound much, but it means they have to slip up twice in their last three games (and us not slip up). And even then Exeter could easily overtake us as they have a game more to play. We're distant third favourites for that third spot.

2. We can qualify for the play-offs next weekend by getting a better result than Mansfield. If we're more than six points ahead of them on Saturday night, we're through. If we equal their result (e.g. we both win) it'll be effectively over due to our better goal difference. Otherwise we'll have the chance to get the job done at Grimsby.