I suppose I've given myself ten games, so my analysis is as follows.
At the current trajectory, we're looking mid-table. That's not a criticism of what we look like in a footballing sense, merely statistical. At present we’re averaging 1.375 points per game. If we continue in that vein, we’re seeing us finish 11th at best (this is based on the last 4/5 seasons.
Let’s look at the scores:
1-1 draw against Newport (who are now 22nd)
2-1 loss against Salford (who are 3rd)
1-0 loss against Wigan - played a strong squad and garnered 65% possession
2-1 loss against Barrow (who are 21st)
4-1 win against Shrewsbury (who are 23rd)
2-2 draw against Bromley (who are 7th)
2-1 win against Tranmere (who are 16th)
3-0 loss against Lincoln (second squad put out)
1-0 win against Fleetwood (who are 11th)
1-0 loss against Gillingham (who sit in 2nd)
MP sits on a 30% win rate - we also have scored 8 goals excluding the 4 we scored at Shrewsbury which feels like a bit of an outlier in scores.
Now that’s the data side done, what have we been told about what’s expected.
First and foremost, he’s been told by the club that they want promotion, “as simple as that” - 1st August, Martin Paterson (bbc).
We’ve also been told that this is one of the highest budgets that we’ve had to date with the Reedz brothers, one which MP, up until recently deemed unsatisfactory as he wanted a new GK and a new striker.
Lastly, we’ve been told physical elements and directives on changing the club to be more involved in the “dark arts”.
1 - We will not achieve that on the current trajectory.
2 - Whether or not we ever were able to compete or make inroads about getting in more players, it’s not his job, publicly, to say that.
3 - Although more physical players in terms of size have come in, we’re much more susceptible to crosses and set pieces than we ever were under Williams and Maynard.
Onto MP himself.
Forever the socialist, “it is not I, only we!” MP is driving the “we, the team” in terms of narrative. Whether that’s a collective call for unity or that of concealment of his real thoughts which come out in training or the dressing room, we’ll never know.
We get versions of himself via interviews, which haven’t won me over. I think personally, that his career is something he links to hard graft and perseverance, and that he’s trying to change the club’s playing philosophy, not adapting or moulding it.
There are occasions whereby I’ve enjoyed bits, because I’ve seen technical flair and exciting play happen, but then I question myself, is that because of him or in spite of him?
There are players we’ve seen that have improved/deteriorated from his managerial/coaching style with Matt Palmer being the standout. If MP were to go, I’d worry about how it might affect his game for the remainder of the season. Bedeau and Jones have dropped in terms of a really high bar we’ve had here for a while, so suggests his methods are much more jarring than what we’ve seen before.
I think MP is on a short contract here, given that it wasn’t mentioned in the press when he was appointed, so suggests he wasn’t highly regarded or was a backup to a backup - if this is indeed the case. If the owners have the foresight that it only takes one bad transfer window to throw out a DOF, then time is ticking very quickly for Martin. Lastly, Martin had 20 games at Burton before he was sacked, which I can see become a real big possibility if we don’t see improvements all over.
(I think I deserve praise for not mentioning Roos or Grant once!) - also I have posted this on Footymad also, but thought it's an engaging conversation peice at least!
He misread the corner and tried to come out to punch it away, but realised that his commitment was too early and questions have to be asked of the defence as to why nobody was at the back post. Why everyone followed the movement of the Crewe players, without reflecting on the height of the ball or where it was heading. The cross itself, it was perfectly placed in front of goal, and re-bounced quite high to an open space where Crewe exploited very well, for me there were too many Notts players just watching on in a position in front of the ball as it came in goal wards.
Defensively, Notts needs to get in front of the attacking players and behind the ball.
This said, I have felt like Roos has been improving, and he does seem adequate for this level, but we need to defend his weaknesses better. Crewe took a corner, where Roos perfectly collected the ball, and he intercepted a cross very calmly where he distributed the ball providing Notts a chance to counter.
Alex Bass would have reacted differently, and there's no doubt we would be better off with him, but it's time to start avoiding Roos's weaknesses and defensively better protecting the goal. We don't win as individuals, but as a team. Conceding goals is just the same.
Good comments.
Yes, I thought the defenders defending the 6-yard box were more culpable for the 1st goal. Even Jatta at the near post.
Also that Roos has been improving. I don't have a problem with him but I know it's important for a goalie's presence to spread confidence in front of him. I don't think we have that and that will be a problem even if Roos maintains an OK level.
We have a bigger problem than GK IMO and that's indifferent play from the inside-forward No. 10 positions. Nobody has made one of those shirts their own and we can't build a promotion challenge if that doesn't happen.
the worrying thing is how often roos makes a mistake or a poor decision, his position is very important and these things can cost us. i am not sure he would have been able to save crewes first effort even if he was stood up, he was left unprotected and it would have been a very quick thing for him to react too. he cant be blamed for not saving the penalty, that is just unfair but i dont see him as being all that dependable when it comes to them. i know some did not think sam slocombe could save them but i think he would before roos.
we need to protect him a little better but he does need to reduce the amount of mistakes that happens, it looked like he had and i hope it was just an off game.